THE PUNDITS · THE ESSAYIST
Arthur Hayes
@CryptoHayes · 814,832 followers on X · Long essays, specific trades.
Every crypto call Arthur Hayes posted on X since Jan 1, 2026, turned into a virtual $10,000 portfolio. Following them made −68.4%; doing the exact opposite made −3.1%. Over the same days Bitcoin went −7.2%, so following Arthur Hayes trailed just holding it. They were right on 37 of 81 calls (46%) 7 days later.
On Jan 26, 2026
“What should I do if $RIVER hits $100 by the beginning of next week?”— Arthur Hayes on X
▲ Bullish on $RIVER. 7 days later it had moved −79.1%. See the post ↗
What Arthur Hayes talks about
| COIN | CALLS | ▲ · ▼ | FIRST | LATEST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $HYPE | 26 | 25 · 1 | Feb 8, 2026 | Jun 29, 2026 ↗ |
| $BTC | 19 | 13 · 2 | Jan 1, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 ↗ |
| $ZEC | 12 | 9 · 1 | Jan 8, 2026 | Sep 18, 2026 ↗ |
| $RIVER | 8 | 7 · 1 | Jan 6, 2026 | Feb 3, 2026 ↗ |
| $WLD | 6 | 5 · 1 | Jun 1, 2026 | Jun 6, 2026 ↗ |
| $ENA | 5 | 4 · 1 | Jan 14, 2026 | Oct 24, 2026 ↗ |
| $ETH | 4 | 3 · 1 | Feb 23, 2026 | Oct 24, 2026 ↗ |
| $SYN | 3 | 3 · 0 | Jun 29, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 ↗ |
| $NEAR | 2 | 1 · 1 | May 22, 2026 | Jun 4, 2026 ↗ |
| $UNI | 2 | 1 · 1 | Sep 6, 2026 | Oct 24, 2026 ↗ |
| $CARDS | 1 | 1 · 0 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 ↗ |
| $ETHFI | 1 | 1 · 0 | Aug 21, 2026 | Aug 21, 2026 ↗ |
| $SOL | 1 | 0 · 0 | Apr 2, 2026 | Apr 2, 2026 ↗ |
| $WILD | 1 | 1 · 0 | Jan 3, 2026 | Jan 3, 2026 ↗ |
▲ bullish · ▼ bearish; the rest just mention it. ↗ opens their latest call on X.
How Arthur Hayes compares
| PUNDIT | FOLLOW | FADE | RIGHT | CALLS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ansem@blknoiz06 | +60.6% | −62.9% | 52% of 499 | 547 |
| 2 | Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI | +21.9% | −63.5% | 54% of 26 | 30 |
| 3 | Elon Musk@elonmusk | +3.3% | −3.9% | — | 2 |
| 4 | Cathie Wood@CathieDWood | −2.0% | −5.5% | 43% of 7 | 8 |
| 5 | Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff | −7.7% | −8.4% | 51% of 197 | 217 |
| 6 | Jim Cramer@jimcramer | −11.1% | +7.3% | 47% of 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Michael Saylor@saylor | −12.8% | −1.5% | 46% of 256 | 292 |
| 8 | Arthur Hayes@CryptoHayes | −68.4% | −3.1% | 46% of 81 | 106 |
The pundits vs ordinary men and women →
How it works: every original post a pundit makes on X since Jan 1, 2026 is read by AI for coin calls, the same way as the men vs women panel's. A bullish call buys the coin in a virtual $10,000 portfolio and a bearish one sells it; "fade" does the exact opposite. A call is right if the coin moved its way 7 days later. Virtual money, no fees. Not financial advice.